India Market Insights

The "Pilot Run" Economics: How to Launch Your First 5,000 Cans Without Going Broke

The most dangerous number in the Indian beverage industry is 150,000.

That is the standard Minimum Order Quantity (MOQ) for printed aluminium cans from the giants like Ball India or CanPack. For a startup in Bangalore or Delhi, that number is a death sentence. It requires you to lock up over ₹15 Lakhs - ₹20 Lakhs ($16,500 - $22,000) in empty cans before you have sold a single drop.

If you are launching a D2C beverage brand in 2025, you should not be trying to be Pepsi on Day 1. You need a "Pilot Run" strategy.

Here is the economic blueprint for producing a "Pilot Batch" (3,000 – 10,000 units) in India using the "Blank Can" method.

1. The Packaging Math: Sticker vs. Sleeve vs. Print

In the West, startups use "Digital Printing." In India, we use Jugaad (smart improvisation).

Your biggest cost isn't the liquid; it's the container strategy. Here are your three real options in the Indian market:

Option A: The "PET Can" (The Cheap MVP)

The Tech: A transparent plastic body with a metal seamed lid. You see these everywhere for mocktails and local juices.

MOQ: 500 – 1,000 units (widely available on IndiaMART).

Cost: Low ₹6 – ₹9 ($0.07 - $0.10) per unit.

TPL Verdict: Avoid for Premium Brands

It screams "Local Juice Shop." It has poor carbonation retention and shelf life. Only use this for fresh, same-day consumption drinks.

Option B: Blank Aluminium + Sticker/Sleeve (The TPL Standard)

This is how 90% of successful Indian startups launch today.

The Tech: You buy "Brite" (silver/blank) aluminium cans from a trader, not the factory. You then apply a label.

  • Method 1: Pressure Sensitive Label (Sticker) - A high-quality plastic sticker. Cheap, easy to apply by hand or semi-auto machine.
  • Method 2: Shrink Sleeve - A plastic sleeve heated to fit the can. Looks like a printed can but costs more per unit.

MOQ: 2,000 – 5,000 units (Sourced from traders/resellers).

Cost:

  • Can: ~₹10 - ₹14 ($0.11 - $0.15) (Trader markup included).
  • Label: ~₹1.5 - ₹3 ($0.02 - $0.03) (depending on gold foil/texture).
  • Total Packaging Cost: ₹12 - ₹17 ($0.13 - $0.19) per can.
TPL Verdict: The Winner ✓

It allows you to launch 3 flavors (2,000 cans each) for a fraction of the cost of a printed run.

Option C: Direct Printed Cans (The Trap)

The Tech: Lithographic printing directly on metal.

MOQ: ~150,000 cans (Full Truckload).

Cost: Low per unit ₹9 - ₹11 ($0.10 - $0.12), but massive upfront capital of ₹15 Lakh+ ($16,500+).

TPL Verdict: Do NOT Do This Until 50k/month

If you change your logo or FSSAI number, you have to scrap the entire inventory.

2. The "Line Loss" Tax (India Specifics)

New founders often calculate their profits like this:

"My liquid costs ₹15 ($0.17) per liter. I have 1,000 liters. Therefore, I will get 3,000 cans."

Wrong.

In India, small-scale co-packers often use older, semi-automatic filling lines. These machines are not precise.

Line Loss: The liquid wasted to "prime" the pumps, fill the long pipes, and calibrate the filler levels.

Pilot Run Loss: Expect 10% - 15% wastage.

The Reality: If you send 1,000 liters to a co-packer in Pune or Nashik, plan to bottle only 850 liters. The rest will go down the drain during setup. You must budget for this in your COGS.

3. Where to Manufacture: The "Coman" Reality

You cannot call the big factories that bottle for Coke or Red Bull. They won't reply.

You need Tier-2 Co-packers or "Lab Scale" Units.

The Setup: These facilities often use manual or semi-auto seamers (10–30 cans per minute).

The Cost Model: They don't charge just "per unit." They often charge a "Shift Charge" or "Minimum Conversion Fee" (e.g., ₹25,000 - ₹50,000 ($280 - $560) per day) + material costs.

The "Brite" Can Source: Many of these co-packers hold stock of blank cans. Ask them: "Do you have unprinted inventory I can buy?" This saves you from finding a separate can trader.

4. The "Changeover" Hidden Fee

If you want to launch "Masala Soda," "Orange," and "Lemon" in your first run, be careful.

Every time you switch flavors, the line must stop for CIP (Cleaning In Place).

In a small Indian facility, this can take 2-4 hours.

The Cost: You lose half a day of production time, which you are paying for in the "Shift Charge."

The Fix: For your very first pilot run, pick ONE Hero Flavor. Validate the brand, then expand.

Conclusion: Cash Flow vs. Unit Cost

Your first 5,000 cans will be expensive.

You might pay ₹35 - ₹40 ($0.39 - $0.45) COGS per can (fully packed) instead of the ₹20 ($0.22) that big brands pay.

This is fine.

You are paying a premium to avoid the ₹15 Lakh ($16,500) risk of printed cans. You are buying the ability to pivot. If the market hates your "Jeera Cola," you can peel the sticker off the unsold cans and try again. You can't do that with printed cans.

Ready to crunch the numbers?

Use our interactive calculator below to compare the costs of a "Sticker Run" vs. a "Printed Run" (including GST impacts).

TPL Beverage Launch Calculator

Model your 2025 Pilot Run economics. Compare India vs. USA costs.

Typical Pilot: 3k - 10k | Scale: 50k+

Base formula + ingredients

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Total Project Cost
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Includes Sunk Costs
Landed Cost/Unit
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Variable COGS Only
Net Profit Margin
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After Margins & Logistics

Detailed Cost Breakdown

Commercial Viability Analysis
Variable Costs (Recurring)
Liquid Formula
Includes 15% Line Loss
0 per unit: 0
Primary Packaging
Container + Cap + Label
0 per unit: 0
Manufacturing (Tolling)
Daily Shift Rate Applied
0 per unit: 0
Secondary Pack
Cartons/Trays
0 per unit: 0
Logistics & Warehousing
1 Mo Storage + Freight
0 per unit: 0
TOTAL VARIABLE COGS
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One-Time Startup Costs (Sunk)
Tooling & Setup
Plates, Molds, Setup Fees
0 One-time fee
MRP: 0
- Tax (0%): -0
- Channel Margin (0%): -0
Net Realization: 0
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Consultant Insight
Tip: Your volume is low (Pilot). You are paying a "Shift Premium" at the factory. To lower COGS, increase volume to 20k+ to unlock "Per Unit" pricing.

© 2025 TPL Beverages. Estimates only. Actual quotes will vary based on specific formula and region.